Final Michigan Primary Prediction

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Romney 29%

McCain 22%

Huckabee 15%

Thompson 8%

Giuliani 6%

Paul 5%

Update: Boston Globe: Early Mich. Exit Polls Favor Romney (
Early exit polling from Michigan appears to bode well for Mitt Romney and ill for John McCain.

McCain won the Republican primary in 2000, thanks largely to support from independents and Democrats who crossed over.

But while independents made up 35 percent of primary voters in 2000, they only comprised about 25 percent of voters today, according to the exit poll, conducted by Edison Media Research and Mitofsky International for The Associated Press and television networks

Good for Mitt and also good for Fred.

Update II: Here's what I mean...

Thompson SC at Intrade up from 4 to 18 with likely Romney MI win.