Thursday, December 01, 2005

A Teetering Basket of Eggs

It's official, the democrats have put all their eggs in one basket betting that the perceived public dissatisfaction with the war in Iraq will translate into big gains in the 2006 midterms.

This may be more a function of neccessity rather than design considering there are very few issues they can utilize to quarry gains. The economy is humming along at average 3.75% GDP growth rate over the last 5 quarters, unemployment stands at a miniscule 5%, gas is under $2.00/gal, the culture of corruption campaign lacks teeth, hurricane season is over so they can't blame the weather on Bush and stock market is flirting with a 5 year high.

This leaves the exploitation of Iraq as the singular pressient issue by which to garner support. A strategy that carries with it the extreme risk that is commensurate with the stakes. If significant progess is made in Iraq, the kind of positive developments that even the Old Media cannot ignore the Democrats are toast. After reading Joe Liebermans article in the WSJ, I believe we are within 6 months of that time.

The writing is most definately on the wall. Sunnis are joining the political process in significant numbers, the Iraqi army is getting stronger as the terrorists are getting weaker by the day and the Iraqi people are becoming increasingly fervent in their support of their new government. Just 6 months ago the average number of tips received by the military from citizens was 500, last month they received 4300. Barring something totally unforseen, it's over for the so called "insurgency", now it's just a matter of time.

Regardless of what they say, I believe that most informed Democrats know this as well which makes the hitching of their political wagon to this tenuous star somewhat inexplicable. One could suppose that they somehow believe that this transformation may yet hold off long enough for them to capitalize in 2006. It's a politically perilous wager for when the insurgency crashes and burns imagery of Dante's Inferno will replace the visions of sugarplums presently dancing in their heads.

If you think the left has been cheerleading the enemy and denigrating are troops in Iraq for the last 2 years, just wait. The closer we get to the midterms and the more tenuous their vantage begins to appear, the more irrationally unpatriotic they will become. It wouldn't surprise me a bit to read intermittent reports of a few moonbat lefties joining the terrorists to fight the "evil occupiers" in Iraq. We shall see.

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